REGION - The Liberal Member for Finniss, Michael Pengilly has dismissed a newspaper poll that suggested his seat could be lost at next year’s state election.
He has also declined to become publicly involved in the leadership turmoil that is affecting the state Liberal Party’s electoral fortunes.
The results of a small poll published by the Sunday Mail this week suggested that the State Liberal Party is facing a significant negative swing and inferred that several seats, including Finniss, were now under threat.
If the seat was to fall to Labor it would be the first time in 69 years that the electorate (previously called Alexandrina) was not in the hands of a conservative party.
Before the last election, in 2006, the electorate was considered to be a very safe Liberal seat, with a margin of 15.6-percent.
After that election, which pitted Mr Pengilly, Mary-Lou Corcoran (Labor) and Kym McHugh (independent National) against each other, the Liberal margin was reduced to 6.6-percent but Mr Pengilly remains confident he can defend his position.
“I don’t get spooked by polls like the one in the Sunday Mail,” Mr Pengilly said.
“It was a metropolitan poll of 400 people and it is irrelevant to Finniss.
“I know it’s a cliché but the only poll that counts is when people enter into a polling booth and put a number in a box.”
“But I never take the electorate for granted.
“I have been working my backside off for the past three-and-a-quarter years, doing 60,000km a year and I get good feedback from the community.”
Mr Pengilly declined to comment on the tensions that have surrounded the State Liberal Leader, Martin Hamilton-Smith since the ‘dodgy document’ affair emerged in April.
“That is a discussion that the party should keep to themselves and not do it in the media,” he said.
Victor Harbor Mayor, Mary-Lou Corcoran, who was preselected as the Labor candidate in October, will again challenge Mr Pengilly.
Alexandrina Mayor, Kym McHugh, has decided to leave his options open and will make a decision about his candidature later in the year.
He has indicated however that he would be likely to run as an independent candidate, rather than under the umbrella of the National Party.
Mr McHugh gained 17.5-percent of the primary vote in 2006, compared to 37.1-percent for Mr Pengilly and 29.5-percent for Ms Corcoran.
However anticipated changes to the boundaries of the electorate for the 2010 poll could change the level of his support.
In 2010 Goolwa will no longer be part of the electorate (moving to Hammond) however Mount Compass (where Mr McHugh lives) and surrounding districts and Sellicks Beach will fall within the seat’s new boundaries.
More than 3200 people voted at the Goolwa booth in the last election, with the Liberals winning the booth on a 53-percent two party preferred basis.
The Mount Compass and Sellicks Beach booths were considerably smaller, with about 800 voters each. Mount Compass recorded a 56.6-percent two-party preferred vote for the Liberals but Sellicks Beach recorded a vote of 71.4-percent for the ALP.
The state election will be held on March 20, 2010.